When to invest in Crypto: Timing the market vs spending time in the market
Imagine that youβve just received a paycheck, income tax refund, or work bonus. Youβre not sure if you should invest it now, or wait and try to time the market. Is there a good rule of thumb to follow? There are two general investor mindsets to consider.
The passive investor who values time in the market doesnβt try to guess when prices will rise or fall. Instead they invest in the market knowing that their timing may not be perfect, but eventually the market will rise over time and they will profit. The investor who values time in the market will stick with their investments until the original reasons for buying change. Reasons may include – theyβve reached their intended savings/return goal, theyβre ready to retire, etc.
Timing the market describes an investor who is trying to time their trades based on predictions about future market movements. These active investors believe they can outsmart the market by picking when to buy low and sell high. Day traders are a common group that fall into this mindset. They believe strongly in market timing, technical analysis, and other high risk high reward strategies.
- A crystal ball does not exist. Many investors and financial professionals believe it is impossible to consistently predict prices and time the market. Cryptocurrencies in particular can be insanely volatile, so be wary of anyone promising sage-like timing advice.Β
- Frequent trades can be expensive and time consuming. Watching and studying the markets require an immense amount of dedication. Isnβt there something else youβd rather be doing? Executing multiple buy and sell trades can also be expensive because each time a trade is made, you are paying a fee directly to the exchange which triggers a taxable event when you sell.
- Investing does not need to be an emotional roller coaster. Itβs natural to want to keep track of your money, but we should all strive to sustain positive mental health by not looking at price charts every time we pick up our phones. An active investor can be drawn into these obsessive habits and may be tempted to sell too quickly to capture a small profit, or to avoid a short term loss. Instead pause and zoom out to re-examine your long term goals. Automating your investments according to predetermined goals is a great way to approach this.
In summary, time in the market beats timing the market. Use automation tools to help.
Nobody can accurately predict price swings, so be wary of any market timing advice. Strive to maintain positive mental health by automating your investing strategy to maximize time in the market vs timing the market. Tools like Satoshiβs Index can be a great resource to help automate your crypto investing strategy, by scheduling investments at regular times, and by showing you what coins the rest of the market is buying. In our next post weβll dive into when the best time to invest is, how to reduce timing risk as much as possible, and why dollar cost average investing is the preferred strategy for the passive investor that values spending time in the market.